Sellafield Limited - Capacity Planning
“At least £100m of costs have been avoided as a result of the work”
The Scenario
BNFL is an innovative world leader in harnessing the power of nuclear technologies. BNFL employs around 10,000 people and its activities cover nuclear site decommissioning and clean-up as well as technology services and solutions across the nuclear fuel cycle.
The Challenge
BNFL was faced with evaluating the impact of a major change in requirements on a well-advanced new plant design. Numerous teams were responsible for the design of individual systems and each proved their system would perform to the new specification. However, BNFL still needed to answer the following questions:
- Would the plant as a whole perform as required?
- How could they minimise inefficiencies emerging from the real-life interaction between systems?
The Head of the Business Improvements (BI) team at BNFL led a group using advanced dynamic simulation methods and workshop data development techniques. He decided to ask Paragon Simulation to work with his team to help them solve the problem.
The Solution
The cross-functional team consisting of designers, operators, maintainers, BI specialists and Paragon Simulation, jointly developed a model. Leading edge modelling technologies were deployed to simulate the operation of the whole plant including the realistic losses resulting from the interaction between systems.
At group workshops a large 3D animation was projected so that the team could watch the model of their process operate and challenge it. Separating the process data and results from the model using the Paragon Information Manager brought clarity of understanding that was shared across the teams.
The modelling system as a whole helped to resolve assumptions about how the systems would interact. It won the hearts and minds of designers and the model became an in-house means of communicating ideas between teams.
The Benefits
The plant performance predicted by the model revealed that the change in requirements would create a shortfall in throughput capability. This outcome challenged prevailing expectation. However, following joint analysis, the result was accepted. Having accepted the result, BNFL were then able to use the model to help them make and test design changes.
The project was peer reviewed by leading independent practitioners who reported the modelling approach to be both best-in-class and fit-forpurpose, and that the methodologies deployed were leading edge. The model now sits within the BNFL Project Team to be used by designers, engineers and managers faced with making decisions based on complex cost-benefit analysis.
BNFL’s Head of Business Improvement reflecting on the whole experience said:
“The model helped to form a correct understanding of the performance of a complex plant. It revealed to the team the key changes needed and created confidence that the proposed design was robust. Joint development helped to cultivate a shared understanding of the whole design. The model was subject to rigorous challenges and an external peer review and therefore it was difficult to disagree with the overall result. The model continues to refine the design in a way that is considerably improving the likelihood of success. At least £100m of costs have been avoided as a result of the work.”



